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Case Study: How activist investing can help a de-rated stock

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After a bruising de-rating, Ramsay Health Care is starting to look like a recovery story. Perpetual portfolio manager, NATHAN HUGHES, explains how shareholder engagement is helping sharpen strategy and tighten capital discipline

  • Activism drives strategy, capital discipline reforms
  • Ramsay recovery: New leadership tightens investment criteria
  • Find out about Perpetual Strategic Capital Fund

Founded by Paul Ramsay in Sydney in 1964, Ramsay Health Care transformed into Australia’s dominant private hospital network through disciplined organic expansion and a handful of astute domestic acquisitions in the early 2000s.

Ramsay owns 48 of the 72 hospitals in its 9,300-bed Australian network. With the cost of a new 100-bed acute hospital well over $150 million today, the intrinsic value of Ramsay's portfolio accounts for a substantial component of its market valuation, according to Nathan Hughes, co-portfolio manager of Perpetual Strategic Capital Fund.

Outside of the core Australian business, the company’s $5 billion offshore expansion involving several acquisitions across Europe and the UK between 2010 and 2022 has delivered poor returns on invested capital.

The company’s problems were further compounded by the underperformance of UK mental health operator Elysium – which it acquired for £775 million from private equity firm BC Partners in January 2022. The profitability of the offshore assets has been significantly impaired at a time when the core franchise was also facing margin pressures.

Perpetual Asset Management (Perpetual) has a long history of active ownership, engaging with ASX-listed company boards and management to extract value for shareholders.

Over several decades, Perpetual’s active ownership has driven de-mergers, strategic alternatives, special dividends, capital returns, acquisitions, board changes, recapitalisation and has blocked mergers and acquisitions.

Perpetual has been advocating for change at Ramsay. The company has taken a series of steps including changes at the board and executive levels, capital allocation frameworks and structural changes to the portfolio.

Firstly, David Thodey assumed the role of chair in late 2023, and the board recruited Natalie Davis as chief executive in 2024, an external appointment that investors expected to bring a sharper turnaround tempo.

“Thodey, who served as a lead independent director since 2020, brought an outsider's discipline to capital allocation – his record transforming Telstra from a bloated incumbent into a more focused business had established him as someone willing to make difficult structural decisions,” explains Hughes.

“His appointment triggered a meaningful change in the board's investment criteria.”

This has culminated in Ramsay tightening its investment criteria, putting more weight on post-tax cash returns and internal rate of return hurdles — and, crucially, applying that discipline as a screen for divestments as well as new projects. This discipline has seen capital expenditure guidance repeatedly reduced in recent periods.

In February 2025, Ramsay appointed Goldman Sachs to examine options for its 53 per cent stake in Ramsay Santé, calling time on its ill-fated investment.

Hughes says the board and management changes represent genuine governance inflection.

“Thodey's capital discipline framework and Davis' outsider execution capability are precisely the combination required to re-rate the stock,” he says.

“The Santé and Elysium situations are solvable. They are largely separable from the core and their resolution – whether via demerger, trade sale or in-specie distribution – would crystallise the value of the Australian business as a standalone entity at a multiple consistent with its genuine quality.”

Additional changes at the executive level have further sharpened the focus on operational improvement in the core Australian business, and momentum in recent quarters suggest margins are at an inflection point.

Ramsay’s greater operational and capital discipline is a welcome change for investors. Free cash flow generation looks set to improve, raising the prospect, in Perpetual’s opinion, of higher returns to shareholders.  

 

About Nathan Hughes and Perpetual Strategic Capital Share Fund

Nathan Hughes is a portfolio manager with Perpetual’s Australian equities team. He joined Perpetual in 2010 and has more than 20 years of investing experience.

Nathan manages the Perpetual ESG Australian Share Active ETF (ASX:GIVE), including its unlisted share class, as well as the Perpetual Income Share Fund. He is also co-portfolio manager for Perpetual Strategic Capital Fund.

Find out about Perpetual Strategic Capital Fund
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Nathan Hughes.jpg
Nathan Hughes
Portfolio Manager, ESG Australian Share Fund, Income Share Fund; Co-Portfolio Manager Strategic Capital Fund
BCom, CFA
Nathan Hughes
Nathan Hughes.jpg

Nathan Hughes

Portfolio Manager, ESG Australian Share Fund, Income Share Fund; Co-Portfolio Manager Strategic Capital Fund BCom, CFA
Bio

Years of experience: 20
Years at Perpetual: 14

Nathan is the Portfolio Manager for the Perpetual ESG Australian Share Fund and Income Share Fund, the Co-Portfolio Manager Strategic Capital Fund and an analyst.

Nathan joined Perpetual in September 2010 as a Research Analyst, before spending almost two years on the dealing desk at Perpetual working on all Australian Equity strategies as an Equities Dealer. Nathan was then appointed to the role of Equities Analyst covering small cap stocks in 2013. He was promoted to Deputy Portfolio Manager in May 2016, and took on responsibility for managing 50% of the Smaller Companies strategy in 2017.

Prior to joining Perpetual, Nathan spent 6 years in a Chartered Accountancy firm where he was responsible for the affairs of a diverse range of clients, including regular taxation compliance, financial reporting, Self-Managed Superannuation Fund audits and business advisory services.

Nathan holds a Bachelor of Commerce from the University of Wollongong and holds a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation.

This report has been prepared by Perpetual Investment Management Limited (PIML) ABN 18 000 866 535 AFSL 234426.

It is general information only and is not intended to provide you with financial advice or take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. You should consider whether the information is suitable for your circumstances and we recommend that you seek professional advice. 

References to specific securities in this report are for illustrative purposes only and are not stock recommendations.

The product disclosure statement (PDS) for the Perpetual Strategic Capital Fund (Fund), issued by PIML, should be considered before deciding whether to acquire, dispose, or hold units in the Fund. The PDS and Target Market Determination can be obtained by calling 1800 022 033 or visiting our website www.perpetual.com.au.

To the extent permitted by law, no liability is accepted for any loss or damage as a result of any reliance on this information. No company in the Perpetual Group (Perpetual Limited ABN 86 000 431 827 and its subsidiaries) guarantees the performance of any fund or the return of an investor’s capital. All investing involves risk including the possible loss of principal.